John Spooney, RB, Brown: FCS Division

Ravens, UDFA. Anyone with his speed will get a chance to make a team, and he has enough running skills to be able to stick on a practice squad somewhere even if it’s not on the Ravens. Despite his great speed, he was never used as a returner – a shame with that kind of speed. I don’t expect him to have consistent success in the NFL, but I would love to see him get a chance on special-teams somewhere.

Positives: Good height. Runs with very good speed and was his team’s 100-meter track champion. Has enough speed and vision to be able to bounce runs outside if the middle of the line is clogged. After contact, he has above-average balance. Above-average power for his size, and is able to lower his shoulder for extra yards. Isn’t easy to bring down, and generally falls forward after contact. Adequate quickness and change-of-direction ability. Above-average upper-body strength.

Negatives: Though he has good height, he has a very slight build, and is built much more like a smaller wide receiver. Below-average vision for cutback lanes, and consistently misses opportunities on inside runs. As you would expect from a track star, he has much better straight-line speed than quickness. Below-average ball security, and he holds the ball too low going through the line and when contact is coming. Inconsistent hands when he has to extend. Questionable desire to play football, and he competed in track instead of football for 2012.

Projection: Behind five or so other RBs on the Ravens, there’s no need to draft him. For leagues counting return yardage, keep an eye on him in the preseason.

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Storm Johnson, RB, Central Florida

Jaguars, Round 7. Was a redshirt junior. Transferred from Miami in 2012. Ranked as my number-8 RB going into the draft, he went much later than I expected, which was Round 4. Looks like a potential solid contributor in a committee approach with Gerhart and also has a good enough combination of quickness and power to develop into a pro two- or three-down back.

Positives: great height for the position. Runs with above-average speed and good quickness. Changes directions well. Has above-average patience, vision, decisiveness, and burst – a combination that lets him quickly knife through the line and get to the second level with just a small seam. Stays on the hips of his blockers to wait for blocks to develop. Above-average power and runs tough, with a strong lower body and good body lean. Churns through contact well, getting low through contact and easily breaking arm tackles. Above-average balance after contact and always falls forward for extra yards. Adequate hands.

Negatives: slightly below-average bulk for the position and for his height. Built more like a wide receiver than a running back. Below-average track speed for the position. Suspect balance making cuts and tends to let his legs get out of line with his shoulder and slip. Gets tripped up fairly easily at the line and needs to run with his knees pumping higher. Consistently questionable ball security – holds the ball in one hand on the goal line and through traffic. Though his hands are adequate, he has some trouble extending for passes away from his frame. Below-average upper body strength. Injured hamstring at March Pro Day.

Projection: In dynasty leagues, he’s worth drafting late in the second round as a 2014 RB4 with RB2 potential in 2015 and beyond.

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Terrance West, RB, Towson: FCS Division

Browns, Round 3. Was a junior. I expected him to go in Round 4 – which would have been pretty amazing for an underclass FCS running back anyway – but he goes even earlier. On the Browns, he should be a solid contributor in a committee approach with Ben Tate and has the power and enough quickness and speed to be an effective workhorse runner in the NFL if he’s needed.

Positives: Good bulk for the position. Adequate hand size. Runs with adequate speed and quickness. Above-average burst, and surprising for his size. Has above-average cutback vision behind the line and in the open field, and is patient, waiting for blocks to develop. Good balance, and the changes directions well even in the snow. Runs with good power and leg drive, churning very well through contact. Will usually break at least one tackle per run and drag tacklers forward for extra yards – usually can’t be brought down by one person. At the end the runs on the sidelines, he seems unwilling to go out of bounds, and will lower his shoulders to drive through defensive backs for extra yards. Decisive and doesn’t waste much motion going sideways. Is always moving forward even when he is making moves – and he moves well laterally post behind the line and in the open field. Good effort on off target passes and has adequate hands. Highly productive at the FCS level, and he ran for 2400 yards in 2013.

Negatives: Slightly below-average height for the position. Below-average upper body strength. Though he was dominant in 2013, it was against a lower level of competition.

Projection: If he works on his blocking and his route running, he could develop into a high RB2. Worth drafting in dynasty rookie leagues in the 2nd round as an immediate RB3 with RB2 potential.

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Garrett Gilbert, QB, Southern Methodist

Rams, Round 6. Transferred from Texas for 2012 season. Was released by Rams in August and put on their practice squad. Has enough experience, accuracy, and arm strength to be a capable backup in the NFL and probably not be a liability if he had to start at times. He will need to improve some slight mechanical flaws and his decision-making to be anything more than that, though.

Positives: Throws with above-average arm strength and adequate velocity. Above-average accuracy on deep patterns and pretty good accuracy in general when he has a clean pocket to stand in. Knows how to vary his velocity, and has enough confidence in his arm that he can fit passes into tight windows with either velocity or touch. Nice touch on intermediate passes. Willing to throw the ball away. Fair pocket sense and is able to step up in the pocket to avoid outside pressure and deliver passes. Adequate speed. Willing to run and is physical. Good play fakes. Has experience with spread, run-and-shoot and pro-style systems, so he should be mentally ready for an NFL offense.

Negatives: His accuracy can be streaky, and he shows below-average accuracy on the move. He also often seems to try to aim the ball rather than throw it. Locks onto receivers consistently and will miss open reads. Generally poor red-zone decisions. Indecisive and he tends to hold the ball too long, missing opportunities and double-clutching often. Also misfires on short passes. On the move, he will throw across his body at times. Often throws falling backwards, losing velocity. Suspect blitz recognition.

Projection: Not worth drafting in fantasy, but is a name worth remembering depending in what situation he finds himself in.

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Bishop Sankey, RB, Washington

Titans, Round 2. Was a junior. I expected him to go a little later than he did – in Round 3 – but I wasn’t far off, and it was probably about where most analysts thought he deserved to go. But I’m not as big a fan of him as most. Most of his abilities are only adequate or above average, and he doesn’t do anything so well that he’s a can’t-miss prospect. Still, he’s a solid prospect. He goes to a situation where there’s no clear-cut RB ahead of him, with just Shonn Greene and Dexter McCluster to take carries away from him, so I expect him to have fair NFL success.

Positives: Though his height and weight are slightly below-average, he has a solid build. Above-average hand size. Runs with adequate speed and quickness and above-average burst. Above-average track speed for the position. Good upper body strength, and very good for his size above-average vertical leap. Above-average cutback vision and is a patient runner who waits for blocks to develop. Runs very smoothly – changes directions well and with almost no transition. Fairly nimble and shows good balance after contact. Gets low in short-yardage situations and keeps legs churning for extra yards. Above-average hands. Above-average ball security technique and he protects the ball well through the line. Is a willing downfield blocker. Was also a wildcat quarterback.

Negatives: Slightly below-average height and bulk for the position. His patience sometimes borders on indecisiveness, and he is late to get through the hole. Though he shows good effort, he has below-average leg drive and doesn’t break many tackles. Isn’t a very effective blocker, and he tends to lunge at defenders and miss them instead of keeping his base and finding leverage.

Projection: I can absolutely see him as worth a late-first-round pick in dynasty rookie drafts with RB2 potential.

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De’Anthony Thomas, RB/KR, Oregon

Chiefs, Round 4. Was a junior. I expected him to go a little earlier than he did because of his pure speed, but he isn’t built for a feature back role. Will have to be part of a committee approach on the Chiefs, especially since they have Jamaal Charles ahead of him. Luckily for him, Charles is probably the only Chiefs back ahead of him. If he can learn how to block and show a willingness at it, he could be a very effective third-down back for the team – a Darren Sproles in the making.

Positives: Runs with great speed and also ran track for his school. Very good burst, quickness, and ability to change directions. Very good stop-and-start ability. Has very good balance and is nimble after catches on the sidelines. Good, natural hands. Has good body control and can extend and adjust very well to off-target passes. Generally good routes and is very crisp in and out of his breaks. After the catch, he picks his way through traffic very well and with good agility and creativity. Decisive on kick returns, and heads upfield very quickly with very little east-west motion. Willing and adequate blocker on kick return.

Negatives: Short for the position, with a very slim build. Small hands. Week upper body. Not very effective on runs between the tackles, and runs too upright up the middle. At times, he runs a little bit out of control. Cuts some of his routes short. Has a history of poor blocking. Injured right ankle in September 2013 and missed three games, and was affected by it all year.

Projection: Draft in the 3rd round in dynasty rookie drafts – higher if return yardage is counted.

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Clint Chelf, QB, Oklahoma State

Positives: Adequate accuracy and above-average touch on intermediate passes. Finds single-covered receivers well. Has a quick release. Steps up in pocket to avoid pressure. Runs with above-average track speed, adequate game speed, and fair agility. Fair play fakes. Experienced at running a high-tempo offense.

Negatives: Comes out of a spread system and probably won’t be ready to handle a typical NFL offense. Seemed to never be considered full-time starter by the team. Started 2012 as number-three QB, but started by end of season. Then was backup again in 2013 but started for most of the season. Throws off his back foot often, affecting his accuracy and velocity. Will throw it across his body on the run. Below-average accuracy on the move and on deep passes, and will miss wide-open receivers. Tends to lock on to receivers and doesn’t see coverage – will throw it into double coverage deep or right at defenders at least a couple of times a game. Needs to very velocity at times on short passes, and will throw bullets. Passes get tipped often. Under pressure, tends to just throw the ball up for grabs. Doesn’t sense outside rush well. Late recognition. Has a reputation for poor practices.

Projection: UDFA. May get into an NFL camp but isn’t likely to stick around on either a roster or practice squad.

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Ranking the QBs in the 2014 NFL Draft

Rankings are as of July 30, 2014.

The 2014 crop of QBs in the NFL Draft is much better than last year’s group — with upwards of seven QBs who may end up starting for NFL teams, and several more who will bounce around on practice squads.

At the top, we have what I consider — outside of Andrew Luck and MAYBE Cam Newton — to be the best QB prospect I’ve seen since I started seriously paying attention six years ago: Teddy Bridgewater. He, along with Manziel and Bortles, are all worth picking in the first two rounds of your dynasty rookie drafts.

The second tier of QBs includes Jimmy Garoppolo and Derek Carr. Most are putting Carr ahead of Garoppolo but I’m less excited by Carr than I am by Garoppolo’s potential. Garoppolo is the most highly thought-of QB prospect to come out the FCS Division of college football since Joe Flacco. Not that he’s on Flacco’s level… yet. But he IS on the Patriots at the tail-end of Tom Brady’s career.

The next tier (I think the last of this group you need to consider in dynasty leagues right now) go from Aaron Murray through Tom Savage. These are the guys who could end up starting for their teams at some point. Expect varying levels of NFL success from them, with some getting starting opportunities and most being able to hold onto backup jobs.

In that third tier are two QBs you need to remember, for sure: Logan Thomas and Tom Savage. Even though I absolutely don’t think they’ll ever be worthy starting QBs in this league, it seems like their teams are a lot higher on them than I am — so they’ll get a chance to start in the next year.

The rest of the QBs on the list are guys you probably shouldn’t draft in dynasty leagues unless you’re in super-deep leagues or have taken over a bone-dry team. They’re worth keeping an eye on, but not worth wasting a draft pick on.

Good luck!

Here are my current rankings (and probably the last time I’ll rank the 2014 draft class).

  1. Teddy Bridgewater, Vikings
  2. Johnny Manziel, Browns
  3. Blake Bortles, Jaguars
  4. Jimmy Garoppolo, Patriots
  5. Derek Carr, Raiders
  6. Aaron Murray, Chiefs
  7. Logan Thomas, Cardinals
  8. AJ McCarron, Bengals
  9. Zach Mettenberger, Titans
  10. Garrett Gilbert, Rams
  11. Tom Savage, Texans
  12. Bryn Renner, Broncos
  13. Keith Wenning, Ravens
  14. Tajh Boyd, Jets
  15. Connor Shaw, Browns
  16. David Fales, Bears
  17. Stephen Morris, Jaguars
  18. Jeff Mathews, Falcons
  19. James Franklin, Lions
  20. Brock Jensen, Dolphins
  21. Brendon Kay, Steelers
  22. Dustin Vaughan, Cowboys

Here are my rankings from after the draft. Not much has changed:

  1. Teddy Bridgewater
  2. Johnny Manziel
  3. Blake Bortles
  4. Jimmy Garoppolo
  5. Derek Carr
  6. Aaron Murray
  7. Logan Thomas
  8. AJ McCarron
  9. Zach Mettenberger
  10. Garrett Gilbert
  11. Tom Savage
  12. Bryn Renner
  13. Keith Wenning
  14. Tajh Boyd
  15. Connor Shaw
  16. Brett Smith
  17. David Fales
  18. Stephen Morris
  19. Jeff Mathews
  20. James Franklin
  21. Brock Jensen
  22. Brendon Kay
  23. Dustin Vaughan
  24. Taylor Martinez
  25. Kolton Browning

For the record, these were my quarterback rankings just before the draft:

  1. Teddy Bridgewater
  2. Johnny Manziel
  3. Blake Bortles
  4. Jimmy Garoppolo
  5. Derek Carr
  6. AJ McCarron
  7. Tajh Boyd
  8. Aaron Murray
  9. Stephen Morris
  10. Connor Shaw
  11. Zach Mettenberger
  12. Keith Wenning
  13. Bryn Renner
  14. David Fales
  15. Jeff Mathews
  16. James Franklin
  17. Jordan Lynch
  18. Brock Jensen
  19. Garrett Gilbert
  20. Logan Thomas
  21. Nathan Scheelhaase
  22. Brendon Kay
  23. Sean Schroeder
  24. Taylor Martinez
  25. Tyler Tettleton
  26. Kenny Guiton
  27. Tommy Rees
  28. Dustin Vaughan
  29. Kolton Browning
  30. Joe Clancy
  31. Caleb Herring
  32. Keith Price 
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Taylor Martinez, QB, Nebraska

Signed as a UDFA with the Eagles, but his contract was voided when he failed their physical due to his foot injury. As an improviser, is almost at the level of Johnny Manziel, but lacks the skills to follow through with it in the NFL. Probably best served by a position switch to WR in the pros, and seems athletic enough to pull it off.

Positives: Throws with adequate arm strength and above-average velocity. Very athletic quarterback with very good speed and acceleration, with above-average quickness. Overhand delivery. Can step up in pocket under outside pressure. Extends plays well with his feet, and is much more effective when he can improvise. Pro day drills showed he has the speed, quickness, verticals, and overall athleticism to play WR in the NFL. Worked out at both wide receiver and safety at Pro Day.

Negatives: Comes out of a spread offense in college, so he may not be ready to handle a typical NFL offense. Brett Favre-ish in his combination of improvisation and mistake-making. Built more like a WR than a QB. Below-average accuracy on timing patterns. Inconsistent accuracy on the run. Holds the ball too long and needs to learn to just throw it away. Generally poor throwing mechanics and throws off back foot often. Throws into coverage. Below-average decisions under pressure and tends to just chuck it or throw passes across his body. Tends to overthrow receivers when stepping up. Injured foot badly in September 2013 and missed most of the rest of the season.

Projection: He’s not really worth drafting in dynasty rookie drafts, but keep an eye on where he lands and see how the team plans to use him.

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Bryn Renner, QB, North Carolina

UDFA. Signed by the Broncos as a UDFA but released in August. I think he has solid enough skills to be a quality backup in the NFL. Has QB3 potential if he starts.

Positives: Good height and bulk for the position. Adequate hand size. Throws with adequate arm strength and above-average touch. Especially accurate on timing routes. Is able to go through his progressions quickly and make fast decisions. Is an experienced three-year starter in college. Ran a high-tempo offense.

Negatives: below-average track speed, quickness, and change of direction ability for the position. Was in a spread offense in college, so he may not be ready to run a typical NFL offense. Below-average velocity. Longish delivery. Tends to make bad decisions and force the ball in clutch situations. Lacks poise in the red zone and often misses open reads there and lock on to receiver, forgetting his progressions. Seems to have happy feet and doesn’t set his feet in the pocket to deliver passes under pressure. On the move, he loses a lot of velocity on his passes. Seems to check down consistently. Injured foot in October 2013 and missed one game. Injured left shoulder in November 2013, had surgery and missed the rest of the season.

Projection: Probably not a quality starter in the NFL, but could develop into a solid backup..

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