Jay Ajayi, RB, Boise State – 2015

Redshirt junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL Draft.

Positives: Great height and good bulk for the position. Built like a fullback, with fullback strengths, but also has some of the athleticism of a smaller back. Above-average cutback vision – is patient on runs between the tackles and will pick his way through traffic well. When an inside run is covered, he has enough speed and quickness to bounce runs outside. Has above-average long speed and adequate quickness, but above-average for his size. Runs with pretty good balance and keeps himself squared while making moves to keep his direction options open. Also runs with good power, and churns through contact. Gives good second effort and has a very effective stiff arm that can knock defensive backs down. Is seldom arm tackled, and gives good effort for extra yards and when he has to dive for the pylon. Above-average hands and can extend well. Pretty good body control when trying to bring in off-target passes. Adequate in pass protection.

Negatives: Though his speed is adequate for his size, he isn’t a burner, and he also doesn’t have a lot of burst or decisiveness behind the line. Sometimes seems much too willing to bounce plays outside when he should just go off-tackle. Also misses some opportunities to cut back outside. Runs with inconsistent body lean, and will get caught upright and be driven back. Is slower when moving laterally, and his lack of lateral momentum makes him easier to bring down when he’s going east-west. Below-average ability to change directions. Is a little lax with ball security while fighting for yards. Tore his ACL in 2011. Was also arrested for stealing sweatpants in 2011.

Projection: Round 3. Looks destined to be either a low-tier starter or the power portion of a committee approach. If he can be coached to be more decisive and rely more on his power, he can be a solid RB2.

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Duke Johnson, RB, Miami – 2015

Junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: Is a sudden runner with above-average speed, quickness, and burst. Can stick his foot into the ground and turn the ball up field quickly. Behind the line, he shows above-average vision for cutbacks. Moves well laterally and with patience and has a nice jump cut to find open running lanes. If inside run is clogged, he has the quickness and speed to bounce off tackle. Runs with pretty good power for his size – moving with good body lean and churning his legs well through contact. He shows nice balance and agility after contact, and will break a lot of arm tackles or effortlessly hurtle a defender who’s in his way. Doesn’t need much of a crease to push the ball down the field, and can narrow his shoulders through the line. Above-average hands, body control, and effort on off-target passes. Protects the ball with both hands while going to traffic.

Negatives: Has below-average height and slightly below-average bulk for the position. Hasn’t shown much in the way of pass protection technique. Doesn’t change angles particularly well, and will go off balance when he tries to change directions too abruptly. Inconsistent concentration on passes away from his frame, and will look for yards before securing the ball. Doesn’t seem to have an effective stiff arm, and will often swing and miss. He broke his right ankle in November 2013 and missed rest of season.

Projection: Round 2. Has the all-around skills to be able to be at least a solid NFL contributor, and his athleticism should make him more than that.

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Ameer Abdullah, RB, Nebraska – 2015

All-Star Games: Senior Bowl.

Positives: Though he is slightly smaller than a typical NFL running back, he is well built. He runs with above-average burst and speed, and has pretty good lateral quickness and change-of-direction quickness. He has good cutback vision behind the line and in the open field, and has the burst to dig his foot into the ground for fast acceleration through the hole. He also runs stronger than his size, with high knees through traffic at the line. Has the strength and suddenness to finishes runs strong and drive through defenders at the end of runs and in short-yardage situations. Very good second effort and churns well through contact with a strong lower body. Runs with good body lean, getting low through the line and tunneling for yards. He shows above-average balance after contact and the agility for quick moves that gain him yards after the defender wraps him up. Can also push the pile in short yardage. Agile enough to spin away from defenders at the line. Above-average hands and routes, and accelerates out of his cuts nicely to get good separation from defenders. He demonstrates above-average ball security technique through the line and protects the ball with both hands. Though his pass protection ability is limited, he gets into pretty good position and is at least able to redirect defenders around the quarterback. Despite his injury history, he seems tough and able to play through pain – played in 2014 bowl game one month after MCL sprain and also played in Senior Bowl despite injuring his hamstring during game-week practices. Adequate hand size.

Negatives: Size is a concern for him – he’s short for the position and has slightly below-average bulk. This comes into play as a pass protector – he is an inconsistent pass protector who can be easily overpowered when he gets knocked off balance. Suspect ball security when fighting for yards, and fumbled often in college. Slightly injured knee in spring 2013 practices. Sprained MCL in November 2014. Injured hamstring in senior bowl practices.

Projection: Round 3. His pass protection deficiencies and lack of size knock him back a bit, but he should be able to be a solid contributor in a committee approach. Reminds me a lot of Devonta Freeman, who went in Round 4 to the Falcons in the 2014 NFL Draft, but with more strength and suddenness as a runner.

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Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin – 2015

Redshirt junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: Great height and adequate bulk for the position. A very creative back with excellent vision for cutback lanes and very small creases both behind the line and in the open field. The vision works well with his good lateral quickness and change-of-direction quickness, letting him slide around behind the line well to find open running lanes. He is also patient and waits for his blockers. Once he finds a crease – even a small one – he has excellent burst and ability to stop and restart his momentum to get up to speed immediately. He keeps his body squared while he is making moves, giving him more directions to choose from, and tends to gain yards while he is also making moves. He then has above-average speed to get downfield either through the line or around the corner. He also shows above-average power and good balance after contact, churning very well through arm tackles. He runs with good body lean and always seems to fall forward after contact. He’s also willing to finish his runs hard, lowering his shoulder into defensive backs down the sideline or stiff-arming his way into the end zone. Agile and can leapfrog defenders in the open field and spin away from tacklers at the line. As a receiver, he has above-average hands and can extend to snag fast passes. Above-average hand size.

Negatives: Though he has shown pretty good hands in limited use, he lacks experience as a receiver and will probably need to work on his routes in the pros. He has also had difficulty in pass protection over his career, though he improved in that in 2014.

Projection: Round 1. The only holes in his game seem pretty small compared to his strengths. Many people say he’s the top running back in the draft, and is consistently in analysts’ top-five rankings – if not the top back, then the second back behind Todd Gurley. To me, he’s still the second-best back in the draft, but behind TJ Yeldon. If he makes it to Round 2, that would be a huge letdown.

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TJ Yeldon, RB, Alabama – 2015

Junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: Has great height and bulk for the position, and has almost a fullback build. Above-average track speed for the position – and good for his size. He is patient behind the line and will follow his blockers. He has good patience and vision for cutback lanes both behind the line and in the open field, and picks his way through traffic well. He has the lateral quickness, agility, and ability to change directions of a much smaller back, and also shows above-average burst and very quick feet in the hole. Always stays squared and ready for burst while making moves, and he picks his way through traffic well. He runs with good power and determination, and churns very well through contact. He has the balance to stay on his feet after contact – always seeming to break free or at least fall forward for extra yards. It seems like he usually has to be dragged down by defenders, and never goes down easily. Super-hard to get to the ground due to his combination of power, agility, and balance. In addition to his strong running skills, he is also a good receiver with above-average and strong hands. He also has the body control to adjust well to off-target passes. His hands are strong enough to hold onto the ball while defenders are trying to punch it out. He is generally an above-average pass blocker who will step up to meet defenders as well as move laterally to stay with them. Is also a willing downfield run blocker.

Negatives: Though he has strong hands, he sometimes holds the ball too loosely going through traffic. He also seems to hesitate at times in short-yardage situations, depending too much on his quickness. When making cuts, he will sometimes lose his balance. On the injury front, he dealt with ankle and hamstring issues in 2014, and was limited in 2014 bowl game. Though he has solid pass-protection technique and desire, he will sometimes block the wrong defender.

Projection: Late Round 1, Round 2. When I scout players, I put an asterisk next to their names if I think they’re potential NFL all-stars. Yeldon is the only running back this year where I added an extra asterisk – to me, he looks like a can’t-miss prospect outside of injury. But he’s regularly overlooked, and I couldn’t believe when I saw a list with him outside of the top five backs. Maybe they’re thinking back to Trent Richardson and thinking he’s a product of the Alabama system, I don’t know. Many are saying he looks like a version of Le’Veon Bell, but he seems way ahead of where Bell was coming out of college. Some team may get a steal in Round 2.

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Taylor Kelly, QB, Arizona State – 2015

Was a redshirt senior.

All-Star Games: Shrine Game.

Positives: He generally shows above-average accuracy and touch on intermediate passes over linebackers and on the run. He throws with good arm strength. He shows pretty good athleticism overall, and runs with good speed. He is also willing to be physical as a runner – diving for extra yards when needed. He also keeps his head pretty well when he’s on the run, keeping his eyes downfield on the run while keeping his running options open. He has a nice spiral even when he’s on the run – possibly due to his above-average hand size.

Negatives: He comes out of a spread offense, which may limit his immediate contributions to an NFL offense. He doesn’t look to be built for an NFL career, and has slightly below-average height and below-average bulk for the position. He doesn’t seem to see the field very well, and is late to recognize open receivers – eyeballing receivers often. He often misses better reads and will throw to receivers who have no chance of getting a 1st down. He hesitates too often and is late to pull the trigger. His accuracy on deep passes and fade routes is consistently below average. His footwork is erratic and his foot will come too far back before winding up to throw. He also often overthrows receivers when he’s stepping forward on the move. His vision seems to narrow a bit in the red zone on the run. He needs to learn to vary his velocity – taking something off on short passes and driving it through tight windows when necessary. He demonstrates suspect ball security when he’s on the move. Doesn’t seem to sense the blind side rush well. On the injury front, he injured his right foot in September 2014 and missed three games.

Projection: UDFA. He has shown enough athleticism and arm talent to get into a camp, but I don’t expect him to be consistently successful at the NFL level until he improves his footwork, gets used to pro-style demands, and works on his decision making.

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Hutson Mason, QB, Georgia – 2015

Was a redshirt senior.

All-Star Games: Shrine Game.

Positives: Has adequate height and hand size for the position. At Georgia, he ran a pro-style offense, so he may be more ready to run a typical NFL offense. He’s pretty accurate at all levels of the field – on short passes, on short timing patterns, down the seam, and on deep sideline patterns. He has adequate arm strength and throws with nice touch on intermediate and fade passes. He has an overhand release, and is also able to vary his throwing slot when necessary. Goes through progressions at times, though inconsistently. He is able to keep his head under pressure in the pocket, sidestep the rush, step up, and deliver the pass. Executes play fakes well. Has enough athleticism to get by and runs with above-average speed. Is willing to run when the pocket collapses and also knows when to slide as a runner.

Negatives: Though he has a nice overhand delivery, it is a little long, and he often seems to push the ball rather than following through. Despite his adequate arm strength, his velocity is below average, and he also has to put a lot of air under deep passes. Though generally accurate, his least accurate area of the field seems to be on intermediate passes over the middle of the field. Overall, his decision making and pocket presence are lacking. He consistently holds the ball too long and hesitates to pull the trigger. He eyeballs his receivers too often. He tends to drift backwards on passes and not step into his throws, and his passes on the run wobble. He also doesn’t show much escapability in the pocket and doesn’t sense the blind-side rush. Below-average ball security and fumbled the ball in one game without even being hit. He also looks like he needs to bulk up a bit to handle NFL demands.

Projection: Round 7. I think he should go by Round 5, but he seems like he’s going under the radar a bit. To me, he looks like a solid career backup and spot starter with enough moxie to stay in the league for several years.

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Sean Mannion, QB, Oregon State – 2015

All-Star Games: Senior Bowl.

Positives: Great height and bulk for the position. He comes out of a pro-style offense, so he should be more prepared for an NFL offense. Throws with good accuracy on short patterns. He shows good anticipation on timing routes, and consistently hits his receivers in stride and coming out of their breaks. He throws with adequate arm strength and velocity, generally making good use of touch when he needs to. He shows confidence in his arm, and will try to fit the ball into very tight windows. Though he lacks athleticism, he is able to step up in the pocket a little bit under outside pressure. Knows when to throw the ball away. He seems pretty tough – though he injured his knee in 2012, he only missed two games because of it.

Negatives: The farther he has to throw the ball, the more inconsistent his accuracy becomes – mostly due to inconsistent throwing mechanics. His release often comes out three-quarters and he has a slightly long delivery. At times, he will also throw off his back foot under no pressure. He often underthrows receivers on deep patterns. Though he generally throws with nice touch, he needs to learn to vary his velocity better. Though he has adequate arm strength, he has to wind up a lot to drive passes far downfield. He also isn’t the most athletic of quarterbacks, and has poor track speed and quickness for the position, and below-average for his size. Inside the pocket, he’s a bit of a statue and doesn’t sense the rush very well and also needs to get more separation from defenders when moving around in the pocket to keep his arm from being tipped. On rollouts, he needs to set his feet better to complete passes to open receivers in the middle of the field. His decision making also needs some work – he consistently misses better reads in the red zone, and will throw into coverage. At other times, he is indecisive, and will hold the ball too long. He tends to lock onto his receivers, missing better open receivers down the field. He also checks down consistently. Injured his left knee in October 2012 and had surgery.

Projection: Round 5. He obviously needs to go to an offense that doesn’t rely on athleticism. To me, he looks like an NFL backup or low-tier starter, and would probably be better served going to a short-passing West Coast offense. He shows enough accuracy that he may eventually be an adequate starter when he improves his decision making. He probably has a better NFL future than former Oregon State QB Sean Canfield, who has bounced around the Saints roster for several years now.

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Grant Hedrick, QB, Boise State – 2015

Was a redshirt senior.

All-Star Games: College Gridiron Showcase.

Positives: Is used to running a high tempo offense. Throws with above-average arm strength and adequate velocity using fair throwing mechanics. He is generally adequate at all levels of the field as well as on the run. He usually shows good accuracy and touch on short, intermediate, and deep passes, with nice touch to get the ball over linebackers and hit receivers on timing routes. On the run, he keeps his shoulders squared to the target and will hit receivers in stride with good accuracy and mechanics. Under pressure outside of the pocket, he seems to keep his head well to be able to find receivers downfield and keeps his eyes downfield on the run. He slides around pretty well in the pocket and has fair escapability. He is able to go through his progressions when he is given time. He shows a willingness to run, and has above-average speed, quickness, and cutback ability, and is also willing to slide as a runner. Is also willing to throw the ball away outside the pocket when he has to. Adequate ball security technique and will cover up with both hands when contact is coming. Is also an adequate punter if need be.

Negatives: He really seems to be too short and slight for the position – and has very small hands. He comes out of a spread offense and may not be ready right away for an NFL offense. Though his throwing mechanics are generally sound, he has some inconsistencies, and will throw off of his back foot at times under no pressure at all, losing velocity. Though he is athletic and moves around pretty well in the pocket, he often doesn’t seem to know where the pressure is coming from, showing suspect pocket presence. Despite showing fair anticipation at times, he is also sometimes late to pull the trigger. When he is trapped in the pocket, he will sometimes just throw it up under pressure. He will sometimes make bad decisions on the run, and will throw across his body. Sometimes, he looks a little bit contact shy, and will slide very early on runs. Though he scrambles well in general, he needs to do so with an eye toward buying himself more time to throw. He tends to lock onto receivers in the red zone.

Projection: Round 6. Some people may look at his athleticism, anticipation, and lack of size, and think of him as the next Russell Wilson. I don’t think his ceiling is anywhere near that high, but he could develop into a pretty fair backup in the NFL if given time. But his best bet may be to go to the CFL.

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Anthony Boone, QB, Duke – 2015

Was a redshirt senior.

All-Star Games: Shrine Game.

Positives: Though he has below-average height for the position, he has great bulk, and is nearly fullback size. Adequate hand size. He throws with above-average arm strength and has enough velocity to fit the ball into tight windows. At times, he shows good anticipation and will hit receivers coming out of their breaks. When he is given time, he seems to be comfortable enough to go through his progressions. On short passes and screen passes, he throws with nice touch. On deep passes, he is able to throw with above-average accuracy and touch – with very nice touch on deep sideline passes, usually hitting receivers in stride. A very athletic quarterback, he started his career at Duke as the wildcat quarterback, and runs with above-average speed and determination. Under pressure, he is able to evade outside rushers and step up in the pocket. He knows when to throw the ball away and generally doesn’t force passes. On the run, he keeps his eyes downfield pretty well, and knows when to slide as a runner.

Negatives: Below-average height for the position. He comes out of a spread offense. In general, his performance can be pretty streaky – he can look great one week and bad the other. As a runner, he will sometimes take too many chances with ball security – even on the goal line. In short yardage situations, his cutback vision is suspect. Under pressure, he will sometimes hold the ball too long expecting he will be able to get away from defenders. His delivery is erratic, though it generally comes out overhand. Sometimes – but especially on the run – he will only read one side of the field and miss open reads. His accuracy on short routes and timing routes over the middle is below average. Though his hand size is adequate, his hand strength is questionable – the ball slipped out of his hands on a throw in the 2014 bowl game. He broke collarbone in September 2013 and missed a month.

Projection: UDFA. He has enough good tape and athleticism to at least get him into an NFL camp. If he improves his consistency, I think he can develop into an adequate backup and potential starter in some systems. But I wouldn’t expect him to be a big producer anytime soon.

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