2009 NFL Draft WR Rankings

Here’s a look back at how I ranked the WRs coming out in the 2009 NFL Draft. I’m going to say my biggest miss was Mike Wallace, who I ranked as the number-22 WR. And my biggest overhype was probably Brian Robiskie at number 5.

  1. Jeremy Maclin: Eagles, 1st round. Very fast. AAHM. Will be their slot receiver right away, and should be their #1 or #2 by 2010. Needs work on route-running in west coast system to rise up depth chart. Only has average size. Is in a pass-heavy offense with an excellent coach and QB, which boosts his stock a lot, but he dropped a bit because of his 1-week holdout.
  2. Michael Crabtree: 49ers, 1st round. All-American. Great hands. Physical, but not exceptionally fast. Coming off foot surgery. More talent than any other 49ers receiver, but may have to back up Bruce for year. He will be their #1 by 2010. Holding out of camp, which hurts his first-year stock. Also, the 49ers will be a run-first team for Singletary, so it’s unsure if he’ll have as much impact.
  3. Hakeem Nicks: Giants, 1st round. Great hands and fantastic concentration. Strong and physical receiver with average speed. Potentially great possession receiver like Anquan Boldin. In perfect situation in New York to take Plaxico Burress role in offense. Should be top receiver right away due to his polished playing style. Showed great hands at minicamp. Expected to become starter some time in 2009. On a run-first team, though, which drops him in the rankings.
  4. Percy Harvin: Vikings, 1st round. All-around weapon with RB body and strength. Good speed and vision. Tough – had big bowl game running and receiving even though injured. Will need work on routes, but they looked good at pro day. Will immediately be their slot receiver but produce like a #2, then like a #1 in 2010 and beyond. With bad CB play in division, could run wild if QB can get him the ball. Being used all over the field in OTAs. Slightly injury-prone, but showed he can play well through injury.
  5. Brian Robiskie: Browns, 2nd round. Great size. Excellent route-runner, and very polished. 4.5 speed, Showed strength, hands and intelligence at Senior Bowl. Will be an excellent possession receiver. Should be their #2 receiver for years with Stallworth’s legal troubles. Or may be #1 if Braylon is traded. Also immediately helps QB play with his dependability.  Minimal bust potential. However, is just a possession receiver on a run-first team, so his upside may be 900 yards and 8 TDs.
  6. Darrius Heyward-Bey: Raiders, 1st round. Good size. Fastest receiver at the Combine, and with great verticals. Will immediately be #1 receiver in Raiders’ improving offense. He has the ability to excel in a couple of years if he gets coaching help — a questionable concept on this team. Can make the circus catch, but has inconsistent hands – dropping passes left and right in training camp. Has immediate pressure put on him because of high draft spot. Also, has been having hamstring problems all offseason, so will be behind the learning curve immediately.
  7. Kenny Britt: Titans, 1st round. Outspoken, but has the skills to back it up. Big and physical. Makes the tough catches over the middle, and is hard to bring down. Great speed for the size. Like Nicks, is in perfect situation for his size and talents. The Titans need him as a replacement for McCareins, but the offensive style, with emphasis on running game, means he won’t be as productive as he could have been. Was impressive at the rookie minicamp, but missed OTAs due to a hamstring problem. Inconsistent hands.
  8. Deon Butler: Seahawks, 3rd round. Polished receiver. Good burst, hands, and elevation. Tough for his 5’10” (168-lb.) size. Good instincts. Adjusts well to ball. 4.38 40. Will be 4th receiver in 2009 with starting slot potential in 2010 and beyond. Replaces role former Penn St. and Seahawks WR Bobby Engram filled. Did great at minicamps, and was noticed by coaches. Undervalued here.
  9. Austin Collie: Colts, 4th round. Great hands and routes. Very productive. Great size. Average speed. Can get open. Said to be a Brandon Stokley clone, and is going to the team that knows best how to use that ability. Could be starting right away in the slot in Colts offense, which adds much potential. Should definitely be starting by 2010. However, apparently not in the mix for the WR3 position in 2009 as of June 1. May also eventually replace Reggie Wayne, who turns 31 this year — but Manning will have retired by then.
  10. Brandon Tate: Patriots, 3rd round. Was developing into 1st-round talent before injuring knee in October 2008. Good size, strong legs, excellent returner skills. Good hands and average speed. Probably a 4th receiver for 2009, a #3 in 2010 when Galloway retires, and #1 potential as Randy Moss’s backup in 2011 and after. On PUP list, and will miss training camp completely, as well as first 6 weeks. 2009 looks to be a washout for him, but future is bright.
  11. Jarrett Dillard: Jaguars, 5th round. All-time NCAA Receiving TD record-holder. Understands the position. Natural pass-catcher with fantastic leaping ability. Runs great routes. Great hands and runs well after the catch. 5’10”/190lbs., but plays much taller. May need to work on upper-body strength to escape NFL jams. Should start on Jaguars as flanker right away, but team’s emphasis on run may limit his touches. Struggled first day of minicamp, but improved. Now he’s been praised for his all-around skills, intelligence, hands, and feel for the position. Will be eventual replacement for Holt. Undervalued at this spot.
  12. Louis Murphy: Raiders, 4th round. Good speed, size, concentration and adjustment to the ball. Improving blocker. Catches well with hands. Tough over middle. Won’t start right away, but has potential in improving Raiders offense. Cable singled him out as the biggest surprise of draft. Needs work on routes. May be 4th receiver in 2009, with #3 potential afterwards, but will never be WR1.
  13. Mike Thomas: Jaguars, 4th round. Very short, but polished receiver. Runs great routes. Very fast and quick, and gets good separation. Didn’t have very strong legs in offseason, but has added 10 pounds of muscle since. OK upper-body strength. Good returner, and is being tried there in OTAs. Should be starting slot receiver on Jaguars right away, but offense’s run emphasis may limit his upside as a receiver.
  14. Johnny Knox: Bears, 5th round. Productive at Texas vs. the Nation game. Ran good routes and showed good hands and quickness. Good routes and concentration. 2nd-fastest 40 at Combine. Also has returner skills. Looked great at pro day. Probably 5th receiver in 2009, but may work up to starting slot WR by 2010. Is expected to contribute immediately. Cleanly caught almost everything in OTAs. Undervalued.
  15. Juaquin Iglesias: Bears, 3rd round. Does nothing spectacularly, but always catches a lot of passes. Tough receiver with improving routes, but inconsistent hands (great at pro day). Above-average speed. Good field awareness. AAHM. Will be big possession receiver Bears need across from Hester, with 80-catch potential. Muhsin Muhammad -like (in a good way). With Cutler throwing the ball, has excellent potential right away due to his polished level of play. Seems very unimpressive in OTAs, though.
  16. Patrick Turner: Dolphins, 3rd round. Big receiver who’s tough to tackle. Doesn’t use hands to catch. Never amounted to much in college or in all-star game, but may actually be productive on Dolphins. Should be #4 right away, and may supplant Bess and Camarillo by 2010. Could even be top receiver by 2011 if Ginn levels off. Caught everything at minicamp.
  17. Sammie Stroughter: Buccaneers, 7th round. Average speed and a little short. Shifty and strong. Has returner skills. Excellent body control. Good after catch. Mostly invisible during Shrine Game. Probably a 5th WR on Buccaneers, though he’s apparently already moving up the depth chart on the Bucs. May never be more than a slot receiver due to size. Undervalued.
  18. Ramses Barden: Giants, 3rd round. Very tall, but well-built frame. Was very productive and dominant at small school. Good routes with great breaks. Excellent work ethic. Durable. Adjusts well to ball and has good hands. Good speed for the size. Will improve with time. Is probably the Giants’ 4th receiver in 2009, with #2 potential behind Nicks after that, but has crowded depth chart ahead of him. With Nicks and Barden in goal-line offense, this offense has great potential. Is said to be a few years away, however.
  19. Mohamed Massaquoi: Browns, 2nd round. Good routes and hands. Good size. Above-average speed. Good character. Like Robiskie, has good potential on Browns  — a team that lacks receivers — but his game is similar to Robiskie’s, and that may put him deeper on the depth chart. Offense will probably be run-heavy, which also limits his upside, but the team’s need for moving the chains may be a good sign, as possession receiving is his game. If Braylon is moved, then Massaquoi should be team’s #2 WR. With Edwards and Robiskie ahead of him, though, won’t be more than #3 on team
  20. Brooks Foster: Rams, 5th round. Tough. Above-average size. Strongest bench press ever at Combine for a WR. Above-average speed & elusiveness. Suspect hands and durability. Coming off injury-shortened season, and was injured at Senior Bowl practices. Has ability to make an impact in Rams offense, with their lack of receivers. Should be their #5 in 2009, with rising potential behind Avery in 2010 and beyond. Not expected to contribute much this year, though. Waived by team in August, 2010.
  21. Derrick Williams: Lions, 3rd round. Good speed & adjustment to the ball. Return skills. Good upper-body strength. Not good route-runner. Slow out of breaks. AAHM. Will probably be 4th receiver in 2009, with #3 potential in 2010. Behind CJ, will not be better than a #2.
  22. Mike Wallace: Steelers, 3rd round. Good size. Great speed, good quickness and return skills. Showed good concentration on deep TD at Senior Bowl, but also showed lack of effort when play’s not to him. Fighting with Sweed and McDonald for #3 spot in 2009, but no more than #3 potential with Ward and Holmes ahead of him. May go higher when Ward retires by 2011.
  23. Brandon Gibson: Eagles, 5th round. Good size. Catches with hands and adjusts well to ball. Improving routes, but is a bit slow. Weak upper body. Good work ethic. Good fit for Eagles’ west coast offense, but it is believed he will have to beat out a veteran to make the team (Brown, Avant, Baskett). Regardless, would probably only eventually be a #3 buried behind Jackson and Maclin. Being compared to Cris Carter, but has some work to do to get there.
  24. Dominique Edison: Titans, 6th round. 6’2″ size and great speed. Good enough to be #4 WR on team, and has potential to be #2 to Britt in years to come, but probably just #3 with Washington also on roster. Did well at minicamp.
  25. Quan Cosby: Bengals, FA. 26 years old. Showed good hands and speed at Senior Bowl. Very smart and can read defenses well. Exceptional upper-body strength, but a little short. Could make it to #3 on depth chart by end of 2009, but may never be more than #2 receiver. Showed great moves in minicamp video.
  26. Dudley Guice: FA. Adequate field speed with 4.4 track speed. Has knack for getting open and catching the ball. Great size with long arms to go up and fight for the ball. Below-average upper-body strength. Very impressive at pro day, and was one of the top receivers in the Texas vs. the Nation game. Cut by Titans on 9/1.
  27. Tiquan Underwood: Jaguars, 7th round. Elite track speed. A project receiver, and will be behind Thomas, Dillard, and Holt at the outset. Also being tried as kickoff returner.
  28. Demetrius Byrd: Chargers, 7th round. Average size and good speed. Good athleticism. Production in senior season hurt by freshman QB. Temperamental. Probably #4 WR in 2009, with #3 potential eventually and limited fantasy relevance.
  29. Julian Edelman: Patriots, 7th round. Slightly below-average size, but well built. Good hands. Average speed, but excellent quickness. Compared to Wes Welker, and is now on the same team. Considered a Wildcat QB and special-teamer. May make practice squad and be Welker’s backup. Picking up offense quickly in training camp.
  30. Brian Hartline: Dolphins, 4th round. Average speed but good size. Not terribly productive senior year. Will have to battle for #4 or lower spot on team. Made some nice grabs in minicamp, but won’t participate in OTAs until mid-June.
  31. Marko Mitchell: Redskins, 7th round. Great size, but not very physical. Seems to have good practice hands, but they weren’t evident in Shrine Game. Average explosiveness. Not good separation. Doesn’t come down with tough catches. Injured at pro day. Not likely to make team except as #5 WR.
  32. Gregory Carr: FA. 6’6” frame, 217 lbs. 4.6 speed. Tough, with good hands. Cut by Chargers late August.
  33. Kenny McKinley: Broncos, 5th round. Good speed, moves and hands, but raw route running. Excellent quickness. Average size. Not physical. Dangerous after the catch. Was invisible at Senior Bowl. 4th or 5th on chart for Broncos, and will probably never be more than #3.
  34. Jason Chery: Panthers, FA. Great returner skills, and that’s probably where he’ll make his money in the NFL. Good acceleration and balance. Great speed and good concentration. Very productive at Texas vs. the Nation game. Could be #4 right away on team with Jarrett slightly ahead of him, but with aging receivers ahead of him, could see some playing time in 2009 and extensive time in 2010 and beyond. Could also be the returner the Panthers have needed since Steve Smith stopped doing it.
  35. Aaron Kelly: Falcons, FA. Tall receiver with average track speed for the size. A little slow changing speeds, but good body control. Good red-zone target. Invisible in Shrine Game. ACC’s all-time leading receiver. Chance to be #4 WR on team this year, but probably never more than #3. Douglas injury gives him a slightly better chance to make team.
  36. Eron Riley: Ravens, FA. Great size and elite speed and athleticism. Needs work on route-running and concentration. Has good chance to stick as 4th or 5th WR, but not fantasy relevant yet. Signed to FA contract after minicamp. Better chance now that Mason has retired.
  37. Kevin Ogletree: Cowboys, FA. Will probably battle with Manuel Johnson for last WR spot on team, and should beat him. Made favorable first impression, but is still considered long-shot.
  38. Quinten Lawrence: Chiefs, 5th round. Average size and good speed. Strong upper body. Has chance to stick on receiver-starved team, but is not fantasy relevant. Expected to compete primarily for returner job, but has shown great deep speed in training camp.
  39. Dobson Collins: 49ers, FA. Adjusts well to ball. Has good size and hands. Good concentration. Was fairly highly thought-of in early offseason, but has uphill battle to make 49ers young WR stable.
  40. Jordan Norwood: Browns, FA. Has fantastic practice hands and concentration, though it doesn’t seem to show on the field, in the Texas vs. the Nation game, or at the Combine. Average speed. May not make Browns roster, but could stick on practice squad due to his practice abilities.
  41. Michael Jones: Texans, FA. Great size and athleticism. Good speed for his size. Has chance as 4th or 5th WR.
  42. Kenneth Harris: Saints, FA. Great size and speed. Very good at pro day. Will battle with Matt Simon for last WR spots on team or practice-squad spot.
  43. Matt Simon: Saints, FA. Good size, speed, athleticism, and upper-body strength. Will battle with Matt Simon for last WR spots on team or practice-squad spot. Not fantasy relevant yet.
  44. Britt Davis: Jets, FA. Good size, speed, athleticism, and upper-body strength. Could stick as practice-squad player. Not fantasy relevant yet.
  45. Darius Passmore: Dolphins, FA, tryout. Average size and speed with big hands. Below-average upper-body strength. Very raw route-runner.  Had draftable talent, but then wasn’t signed until weeks after draft. Will be a three-year project at least. Has experience in Wildcat, and is going to the Dolphins. Best bet, really, is on the practice squad, especially with Turner, Bess, Camarillo, Ginn, Marion, and Hartline on the team.
  46. Chris Williams: Dolphins, FA. Exceptionally fast, but short and slight. Not much of a chance to make team, but could work on special teams. Not fantasy relevant yet.
  47. Josh Briscoe: Redskins, FA. Great height, but thin build. Great speed. Redskins picked up a few rookie WRs this offseason, and they will battle for maybe 2 spots. Not fantasy relevant yet.
  48. Isaiah Williams: FA. Great size and elite speed. Very athletic. Signed to FA contract by Ravens after minicamp, but waived at end of July.
  49. Vinny Perretta: Vikings, FA. Short receiver with 4.45 speed. Avg. upper-body strength with good lower body. Will compete for #5 WR spot, but is buried on depth chart.
  50. Greg Orton: FA. Physically solid, but not a good route runner. Average hands. Good blocker. A little slow on track. Could be WR or even TE. Waived by Bengals in late August.
  51. Larry Beavers: Panthers, FA. Very small, but elite speed. Major returner skills, and could compete with Jason Chery to replace Smith on special teams, learning from the also-small Smith on the finer points of the position. Not fantasy relevant for a while.
  52. Quentin Chaney: Rams, FA. Limited WR depth chart in St. Louis gives him a roster shot, but not much more.
  53. Nate Swift: Broncos, FA. Good size, but slow for a receiver. Probably just battling for a special teams spot, and isn’t fantasy-relevant.
  54. Eric Peterman: Bears, FA. Average size and speed. Low upper-body strength. Will only compete for special-teams role.
  55. Nick Moore: Vikings, FA. Tall, but thin, brother of Lance Moore. Average speed and athleticism. Will compete for WR #5 spot, but is buried on depth chart.
  56. Derek Kinder: 7th round. Good size and average speed. Was injured a couple of years ago and has never fully regained ability. Not fantasy relevant, and did not even make the receiver-starved Bears — cut on 9/1.
  57. Kole Heckendorf: Packers, FA. Great height, but too thin. Good speed and athleticism. Average upper body. Possible practice-squad player.
  58. Tommy Breaux: Ravens, FA. Giant 6’7” receiver, but thin for the height. 4.5 speed with great explosiveness. Very raw, and has had unsuccessful tryouts with the Redskins and Giants.
  59. Lucas Taylor: FA. Excellent speed and good athleticism. Adequate size, and had good production until senior year. Placed on waived/injured list in late July.
  60. Jaison Williams: FA. Great size with excellent speed. Was cut by Redskins after OTAs. Could compete for a team as #5 WR or H-back, but is far from fantasy relevance.
  61. Tommy Saunders: FA. Immensely strong, with adequate NFL size. Good hands. May make team as 4th or 5th WR. Not fantasy relevant yet. Not signed by Buccaneers after tryout, and then waived by Detroit after OTAs.
  62. Brennan Marion: FA. Coming off knee surgery in December, but ran a 4.5 in March. Participating on limited basis in May OTAs for Dolphins, but was waived/injured in August.
  63. Manuel Johnson: Cowboys, 7th round. Wasn’t impressive in bowl game or at Shrine practices. Small. Not good routes. Suspect hands. Drops passes. Lacks elite speed. Added late to Senior Bowl roster, but was invisible there, too. Not likely to make team., but there has been talk of him being a Wildcat QB with his high school experience as a QB.
  64. Freddie Brown: Bengals, 7th round. Could make team as special teamer, but not much else.
  65. Jarrett Byers: Rams, FA. Average size and great speed. Average upper-body strength. Limited WR depth chart in St. Louis gives him a roster shot, but not much more.
  66. Tyler Grisham: Steelers, FA. Short and slow, with very weak upper body. Competing for special teams role and no more.
  67. DJ Boldin: Lions, FA. Younger brother of Anquan. Very productive in ACC last year. Uphill battle to make the team. Failed conditioning test at beginning of training camp.
  68. Justin Brown: FA. Great size and explosiveness. Good speed and upper-body strength. Cut by Cardinals after minicamp, even though I thought he’d have a good shot.
  69. Clarence Denmark: FA. Excellent speed and deep ball ability. Also has returner skills. Cut by Jaguars on 9/1.
  70. Jamarko Simmons: Packers, FA. Great size. Good speed and athleticism. Cut by Packers at beginning of training camp, but I thought had potential.
  71. Jeremy Childs: FA. Average size and speed. Special-teamer potential. Was cut by Chargers after minicamp.
  72. David Grimes: Notre Dame: Average athleticism and speed.
  73. Casey Fitzgerald: North Texas. Led NCAA in receptions in 2008. Big, strong hands, but a little short and very slow for a WR.
  74. Andrew Means: Indiana. Good size. Great speed and upper-body strength. Went back to play baseball with Reds since he wasn’t drafted.
  75. TJ Courman: Appalachian St. 5’8″ receiver with good explosiveness and upper-body strength.
  76. James Swinton: Auburn. Elite speed.
  77. Jon Davis: Azusa Pacific. Great size. Good speed and explosiveness.
  78. Marcus Everett: UCLA. Average size, speed, and upper-body strength. Good explosiveness.
  79. Ernest Jackson: Buffalo. Great size and adequate speed and upper-body strength. Bad leaping ability.
  80. Julius Pruitt: Ouachita Baptist. Great size and speed. Bad leaping ability.
  81. Ed Gant: N. Ala. Very athletic. Great size and very good speed. Above-average strength. May switch to DB in NFL.
  82. Patrick Williams: Colorado. Great size, good speed, and very athletic. Had suspect hands in college, but caught everything at his pro day.
  83. Maurice Covington: VA. Excellent verticals.
  84. Willie Edwards: Bethany. Slow but athletic, with below-average upper-body strength.
  85. George Smith: Vanderbilt. Good size and lower-body strength, but slow and weak upper body.
  86. Tredale Tolver: Cal-Poly. Small, but very fast.
  87. Chris Nickson: Vanderbilt. 4-year starter at QB, but lacks production and size for the NFL. Great athlete, but has never player receiver. Great size for it, though, and did well at pro day.
  88. John  Matthews: San Diego. Average size, speed, and athleticism.
  89. Jamayel Smith: Miss. St. Thin, but good height. Good speed and explosiveness, weak upper body.
  90. Jeremy Gilchrist: Hampton. 5’9″ size, 180lbs. Average speed, explosiveness and strength
  91. Carl Sims: West. Ill. Average size, but a little slow. Good athleticism, but weak upper body. Off-field issues and was dismissed from team.
Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2009 NFL Draft RB Rankings

Here’s a look back at how I ranked the RBs in the 2009 draft class — my first year of draft study. My biggest miss was obviously Arian Foster, who I ranked at number 15.

  1. Donald Brown: Colts, 1st round. Excellent vision and burst. Tough inside runner with good size. Has good speed. An OK receiver. Very smart and carries himself professionally. AAHM. Will immediately compete with Addai for time, but should supplant him by the end of the year. Has super-bright future in Colts offense due to his receiving ability. Needs to work on setting up blockers.
  2. Knowshon Moreno: Broncos, 1st round. Strong, instinctive, good receiver. Driven. Everything you want, except elite speed. Running with 3rd team in OTAs, with Jordan and Buckhalter ahead of him, but should be the starter from day one. What that means in the McDaniels offense is yet to be seen. When he used RBBC in New England, none of the backs were all that great in fantasy. Held out, then was immediately injured, which hurt his 1st-year stock.
  3. LeSean McCoy: Eagles, 2nd round. Good size, speed, and all-around skills. Excellent receiving skills. Should be immediate backup to Westbrook, and this makes him a handcuff for sure, with greater potential as Westbrook declines. Worked with 1st-team offense in OTAs with Westbrook hurt, and with Westbrook out until training camp, should get bulk of early work. Weak lower body, which must improve to handle load in NFL. Must work on blocking skills to stay on field more. But will be Wildcat QB.
  4. Chris Wells: Cardinals, 1st round. North-south runner with vision, burst, and good speed. Weighs 225 lbs. Jamal Lewis-type. Should supplant Hightower as featured back right away, and could take goal-line carries away from him as well. May not be durable, as height may expose him to hard hits. Short shelf life due to injury history and playing style, and was injured in his first practice. High bust potential.
  5. Shonn Greene: Jets, 3rd round. Powerhouse runner with outstanding lower body. Good balance. Adequate speed. A Thomas Jones clone, and may supplant Jones right away if he holds out too long. Excellent starting potential by 2010. No receiving experience, though he caught the ball well in bowl game. Below-average upper-body strength. Not very elusive, and will take some hits.
  6. Rashad Jennings: Jaguars, 7th round. Hard runner with big size. Above-average speed & good hands. Strong, with good body lean. Sets up blockers well. Enters good situation as backup to MJD. Should be serviceable starter in 2009, with extra potential if MJD gets hurt. Surprisingly quick at minicamp and has really impressed a lot of insiders. Seems like a true pro, but is also already 24 years old, meaning he’ll have a shorter shelf life. Undervalued at this spot.
  7. Gartrell Johnson: Chargers, 4th round. Great size, power, and balance. Good quickness. Slow 4.6-4.7 speed. Good short-yardage back. Could be their starter as soon as LT leaves (if Sproles leaves, too). Otherwise, has little fantasy relevance in 2009 except as 2nd handcuff to LT. LT was mentoring him at minicamp, and he has reportedly looked great in training camp.
  8. Glen Coffee: 49ers, 3rd round. Adequate speed and quickness. Strong as can be, but thin lower body doesn’t let him move the pile. Plays mean. Good production in college, and is a good receiver. Has become a leader. Will be backup to Gore in a run-based offense, so still should get a lot of touches, especially as Gore gets hurt a lot. Has good starting potential, but is not expected to take many carries while Gore is starting.
  9. Andre Brown: Giants, 4th round. Hard runner with quick burst. Great size. Very good short-yardage runner. Keeps feet moving and gets upfield fast. Sets up blockers well. Good receiver, but not elusive. Durability and academic issues. Enters running offense with style similar to Brandon Jacobs. Good starting potential when Jacobs gets hurt or leaves as FA. But competition for touches makes him a fantasy backup for a year or so, especially as Bradshaw seems to be improving.
  10. Bernard Scott: Bengals, 6th round. Ultra-productive for a great small college offense. Put up 3,000 total yards in 2008 with 34 TDs. Very impressive at Texas vs. the Nation game. Good balance, vision, quickness, and body lean – always pointed downfield. Runs through tackles. Has been a workhorse. If he stays out of trouble on this troubled team, he has excellent potential as a change of pace to Benson. Looks very good in OTAs. Adequate height (5’10”) but would have better starting potential if he adds 10 pounds. 25 years old. Brian Leonard is expected to be #2 on team.
  11. Javon Ringer: Titans, 5th round. Unspectacular in bowl game, but was a strong runner who got better over time. Workhorse with 4.4 speed. Had outstanding pro day, especially in quickness drills. OK receiver. Hard worker. Will be buried on depth chart for a while unless team trades LenDale White. But with the team’s emphasis on run, is in a great situation to be a workhorse if called upon.
  12. Javarris Williams: Chiefs, 7th round. Good size. Quick burst and elusiveness. Good receiver. Needs to improve patience. Keeps feet moving. Strong legs. Good size. Has starter potential if Johnson leaves, but at the least could split time with Jamaal Charles. Starter potential by 2010, but has to be higher than 3rd on depth chart. If LJ is traded, then Williams has a great chance to be RB3.
  13. Mike Goodson: Panthers, 4th round. Explosive athlete with inconsistent production. As #3 RB on run-heavy team behind Williams and Stewart, may see some touches, but unless one of them leaves, he will be bench material. May be their 3rd-down back until then. But was also used as WR at minicamp, and reportedly looked good running routes. At that position, might have a good shot as a slot receiver. Has also impressed Delhomme with his speed.
  14. Devin Moore: Seahawks, FA. Great strength and speed, and average size. Good vision and quickness, with good competitiveness. Fumbled in Texas vs. the Nation game, but that wasn’t so much a problem in college. May be NFL change-of-pace back. Should be 3rd back right away, with very good starting potential on weak Seahawks RB depth chart.
  15. Arian Foster: Texans, FA. Good size with solid weight. Strong, but has had fumbling problems. 4.7 speed and average athleticism. Injured at Senior Bowl practices and combine. Will compete with fellow free agent Jeremiah Johnson as top backup to Slaton. Both have a chance to make the team, but Johnson probably has better chance to be top backup due to versatility and speed. Foster is the one who has been singled out by Kubiak in the early going, though.
  16. Cedric Peerman: Ravens, 5th round. Good burst. Quick, athletic and strong. Fights for tough yardage. One of the strongest at Combine. Big back with very small hands – may have fumbling problems, and did fumble at Senior Bowl. Buried on depth chart, but may be #3 RB on team (#4 if you count McClain). Has #2 potential in 2010 and beyond in this run-heavy offense.
  17. James Davis: Browns, 5th round. Not a good receiver, bad routes and awareness. Good burst, but lacking vision to hit hole. 4.4 speed. Not quick. Has good forward lean, but can’t make people miss. Probably #3 RB right away, and with very little ahead of him, could see some playing time in 2009. But is too inconsistent to contribute as a starter in NFL.
  18. PJ Hill: Saints, FA. Inside runner with good size. May not be durable. Character and maturity issues – arrested for DUI in March. May compete for backup RB role and short-yardage back.
  19. LaRod Stephens-Howling: Cardinals, 7th round. Fast and elusive backup to LeSean McCoy. 4.4 speed and strong upper body. Change of pace to Wells, with 3rd-down back capability. Is probably the Cardinals’ replacement for JJ Arrington.
  20. Aaron Brown: Lions, 5th round. Good vision and quickness. Has returner skills. Not very strong. Good 3rd-down back, and could fill that role with Lions. Not fantasy-relevant, though.
  21. Kory Sheets: 49ers, FA. Good speed and balance. Has returner skills. Very productive receiver in college, and at Senior Bowl. Doesn’t move pile – not very strong. Doesn’t have great vision or game awareness. Will probably be 3rd-down back on 49ers, and with Gore and Coffee ahead of him, won’t see field much as a runner.
  22. Marlon Lucky: FA. Good size. Great Shrine Game. Sub-par instincts and vision. Productive early in college, but fell to 3rd on depth chart in 2008. Athletic, but average speed. Missed most of Bengals minicamp, and got few reps. Waived in late August.
  23. Ian Johnson: Vikings, FA. Good size, great speed, vision and lateral mobility. Good receiver. Very productive in college. Upper-body strength, but doesn’t appear to move the pile. Average quickness. May be 3rd-down back for Vikings, but will never start. Should be good special-teamer for them, but has very limited fantasy potential.
  24. Jamall Lee: Panthers, FA. Bishop’s. Very fast and athletic. Has looked great, though upright, at OTAs, but probably won’t make the roster in Carolina due to crowded depth chart. May play in CFL, where he was drafted third overall.
  25. Jeremiah Johnson: FA. Quick and keeps himself pointed downfield. Good receiver with soft hands. Smart with good legs. Fairly hard to bring down. Seemed to dominate at Senior Bowl. Some durability issues, and will have shoulder surgery and miss 2009. A little slow. Put on IR in August, but may return as top backup in 2010.
  26. Josh Vaughan: Jaguars, FA. Great size, explosiveness, and immense upper-body strength. 4.6 speed. 1900 (5.3avg) rushing yards as a senior. 700 in 2007 as Tim Hightower’s backup. Waived by Buccaneers in August. Signed a few days later by Jacksonville. May stick as #3 RB, but is behind MJD and Jennings for now.
  27. Tyrell Sutton: Packers, FA. Shifty and elusive, with great work ethic and intelligence. Patient and sets up blockers. Not durable or strong. History of injuries. May be 3rd-down back, but not fantasy-relevant behind Grant and Jackson. Doesn’t really have NFL skills, anyway, and will probably just be a special-teamer.
  28. Antone Smith: Vikings, FA. Short, but stocky. Very strong upper body (31 reps). Elite speed. Sounds like a 3rd-down back. Waived by Lions end of July, but signed by Vikings in early August.
  29. Marcus Thigpen: FA. A little small, but fast and very athletic and strong. Waived in August
  30. Quinn Johnson: Packers, 5th round. Blocking fullback. Not fantasy-relevant.
  31. Wynel Seldon: Redskins, FA. Good athleticism and strength, a little slow. Has chance to stick on special teams, but not fantasy relevant.
  32. Kestahn Moore: FA. Good size, and may play fullback in NFL. 4.5 speed at 225 lbs. Good blocker. Not fantasy relevant at this point, but has upside. Was waived by Broncos after OTAs, but has signed with Chargers, where he’s buried on depth chart.
  33. Kahlil Bell: Vikings, FA. Average size. Slow and not very strong. Will compete for special-teams role on Vikings, but not much else.
  34. Mike McClendon: Jaguars, FA. A little short, but well built. Average speed, but above-average strength. Could compete for backup role, but little chance of relevance.
  35. Kyle Bell:  FA. Great size and strength with fair speed. Good pass-catcher at pro day. Waived by Jaguars after OTAs.
  36. Nick Walker: FA. Good size, fast and athletic, but not very good routes. Good hands and excellent red-zone target. Waived by Vikings after OTAs.
  37. Tyrell Fenroy: FA. 5’8”, but 205 lbs. 4.5 speed, with good explosiveness and upper-body strength.  Cut by Bears after minicamp, and will play in UFL-Las Vegas.
  38. Anthony Kimble: Jets, FA. Good size. Slow. Not explosive or strong. Wasn’t impressive at Texas vs. the Nation game. Waived by Dolphins in late August and signed by Jets.
  39. Walter Mendenhall: FA. Brother of Steelers RB. Cut by Eagles after minicamp.
  40. Yonus Davis: San Jose St. Very short, but stocky. Very quick, but not strong. Not very productive in college. Has good hands. Will probably be a 3rd-down back.
  41. Brad Lester: Auburn 51
  42. Brandon Mason: Stony Brook. Great size.
  43. Stan Zwinggi: Tex. St. Good size, speed, explosiveness and strength.
  44. Keegan Herring: AZ St. Average size and good speed. Great athleticism and strength.
  45. Brandon Ore: West Liberty State. Good size with below-average speed.
  46. Charles Pierre: Florida Atlantic. 5’6.5”, but thickly built. 4.6 speed. Strong, but not very athletic
  47. DiIvory Edgecomb: Florida Atlantic. 5’7.5”, but thickly built. 4.5 speed
  48. Tristan Davis: Auburn. Elite speed, but very fragile in college. Only carried 8 times in 2008.
  49. Julian Reams: Fla. Int’l. Solid size.
  50. Jordan Scott: Colgate. OK size, but slower even than Gartrell Johnson.
  51. Jamie Fordham: Coastal Carolina. Good size, explosiveness, and strength, but 4.7 track speed.
  52. Mike Davis: SC. Short and stocky. 4.7 speed and weak upper body.
  53. Jorvorski Lane: Ate himself out of draft. Nearly 300 pounds. Showed no burst or strength. Seems to have no commitment to football. Had good quickness when he was lighter, and may be a good short-yardage back if he commits, but he was useless at Shrine Game. And showed nothing at pro day.
Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

2009 NFL Draft QB Rankings

This is a look back at how I ranked quarterbacks in my first year of draft study. Not bad, though I’d definitely switch Sanchez and Stafford at the top and move Curtis Painter a lot lower (I only ranked him so high back then because he was able to step into such a great Colts offense).

  1. Mark Sanchez: Jets, 1st round. Will be a full-time starter by 2nd year. All the skills necessary. Great leader. Was in a pro-style offense in college. Very hard worker and student of the game. Makes quick reads. Has personality to handle NY media, and the team will love him. Didn’t start out OTAs well, but his last practice was his best. Slightly suspect durability.
  2. Matthew Stafford: Lions, 1st round. Strong arm, good touch and leadership. All-American. Will start for Lions by 2010, and probably will see field in 2009. With Calvin Johnson and Pettigrew, this has the makings of a good offense for years if he’s more Favre than Grossman. Is said to have been very impressive at OTAs so far. Jittery and has inconsistent decision-making skills. Riskier pick than Sanchez, I think.
  3. Josh Freeman: Buccaneers, 1st round. Big, strong, accurate on the run, with good escapability. Compared to Jamarcus Russell. AAHM. Originally thought to be a long-term project, is now thought to be in the mix as a starter from day one. Inconsistent accuracy and decision-making skills.
  4. Nate Davis: 49ers, 5th round. Great arm – threw 70 yards at skills competition. Very fluid release — seems effortless. Accurate on run. Makes all the throws. Not great height. Struggled with some of the better competition. Documented learning disability — is a visual learner rather than one who learns from written word. Fact he operated from spread offense means he may struggle with complicated offense. Should be their 3rd QB in 2009, with potential to move to #2 in 2010. Could start by 2011. Undervalued.
  5. Hunter Cantwell: Panthers, FA. Good Shrine practices. Improving mechanics. Seems coachable, and should get that with Panthers. Should be #3 QB when season starts, and #2 by 2010. May be starter when Delhomme retires. Probably no need to draft him, though,
  6. Pat White: Dolphins, 2nd round. Small for a QB, but great fit for a Wildcat offense. Smart and vocal leader. Impressed at Senior Bowl, where he missed some early reads, but got better. Stepped into throws. Showed good deep touch. Was accurate on the run, and was a great college runner. Showing great accuracy in workouts. Should be Dolphins’ #3 QB right away, but its #1 Wildcat QB. Going to the “original” Wildcat team means he should have immediate impact as a runner and, somewhat, as a passer. Not showing very well at OTAs, though. Threw with gloves in college, but is trying to go without gloves at OTAs. Probably won’t be worth drafting because he won’t be great at either WR or QB positions.
  7. Curtis Painter: Colts, 6th round. Great production in college, but was injured senior year. Good size and good play-fakes. Came from spread offense, and doesn’t make great decisions in the pocket and is inaccurate outside the pocket. Accurate and good zip at pro day. As Manning’s backup, probably won’t see the field except in Week 17. May replace Sorgi as #2 or stay on practice squad. Not fantasy-relevant until Manning’s gone — probably not until 2013. Has impressed with how quickly he has picked up offense. No need to draft him.
  8. Stephen McGee: Cowboys, 4th round. Good practices at Shrine Game. Quick grasp of offenses. Good reads, accuracy, and release. Mostly worked underneath and middle. Needs to look off receiver, but has good deep pass. Will be their #3 QB behind Romo and Kitna in 2009, but #2 in 2010. Unless Romo gets hurt, though, will be fantasy backup for years. Has looked polished in OTAs, though.
  9. Rhett Bomar: Giants, 5th round. Good escapability and running. Accurate in college, but not at Senior Bowl. Good mechanics. Best senior in Senior Bowl practices. Good zip on ball, but needs better touch. Late on reads. Holds ball too long. Wasn’t great deep at Senior Bowl. Will fight it out with Andre Woodson for #3 QB role, but should win the battle. Needs at least 2 years on bench, though, to be starter-worthy, and will get that with Manning and Carr ahead of him. Said to have improved as minicamps went on. Not fantasy-relevant until 2011 regardless.
  10. Mike Reilly: Steelers, FA. Great size. Good decision-making and accuracy when on, but inconsistent. Good on run. Good size. Bad mechanics and deep ball. Will have long developmental period, and will get that on Steelers behind Roethlisberger. Will battle with Dixon for #3 QB spot in 2009, but will probably end up on a practice squad.
  11. Brian Hoyer: Patriots, FA. Good size and good on the run. Good leader. Good timing and touch. Inaccurate at times. Weak arm. Not impressive in bowl game, but better during Shrine Game. Maybe was a victim of dropped passes in college. Could be #3 QB in 2009, and he needs the years until Brady retires to learn the craft. Fantasy-relevant in 2011 and beyond as either handcuff or eventual starter.
  12. John Parker Wilson: Falcons, FA. Showed good mechanics and fair decision-making. Good accuracy on run, and has good escapability. Average arm strength. More bad passes than good at Senior Bowl. Not good deep. May be an INT machine. With Ryan as the starter, won’t be better than #3 QB in 2009. May be their #2 by 2010, but won’t see the field except as injury replacement. With Ryan on roster, Wilson won’t be fantasy relevant until 2011 at earliest, and then only as handcuff.
  13. Tom Brandstater: Broncos, 5th round. Good size and throws well on the run. Suspect field vision. Takes too many chances and is very inaccurate, overthrowing many receivers. Will have chance to learn behind Orton and Simms, but not fantasy-relevant until 2011 at earliest.
  14. Mike Teel: Seahawks, 5th round. Great size. A little slow. Average production in college, even throwing to Britt. Average performance at all-star game. However, did finish senior season with 22 TDs and 6 INTs in last 6 games. Should be their #3, and may be #2 by 2010. Not fantasy relevant until 2011 at earliest, but I don’t think he has great NFL skills.
  15. Rodney Landers: Buccaneers, FA. Small size, but good FCS-level production both rushing and passing.  May have position change in NFL, or may function in some version of the Wildcat. May just stick around to be scout team Wildcat QB. Probably will stick on team for versatility. Not fantasy relevant yet.
  16. Chase Patton: Bears, FA. Good awareness and great size. Good touch on short passes, but inaccurate at other times. Will battle with Basanez for practice-squad or #3 spot, but has no fantasy relevance for years.
  17. Cullen Harper: Bills, FA. Good size, but erratic, and it showed at Senior Bowl. Accuracy is a major issue. Only shot on team is as practice squad.
  18. David Johnson: Packers, FA. Good size and average athleticism. Was one of the most productive QBs in college. Came from spread offense, and was uncomfortable under center. Doesn’t make quick decisions, and looks skittish in the pocket. Suspect accuracy. In Packers camp on a tryout basis. Best bet is probably a practice squad position, since they have their depth chart pretty much set with young talent.
  19. Keith Null: Rams, 6th round. Fluid throwing motion, but inaccurate. A project and practice-squad  player, at best, competing for QB3 on Rams.
  20. Chase Daniel: Redskins, FA. Stock is falling fast. Inaccurate. Bad pocket presence. Above-average mobility. Bad Shrine game and practices. Will have to beat out Colt Brennan for spot, and will most likely lose the battle. Not fantasy relevant.
  21. Chris Pizzotti: Jets, FA. Very intelligent. Great size and OK athleticism. Grandfather was first pick in 1946 draft as QB. Will probably be practice-squad player, and won’t be fantasy relevant with Sanchez on team.
  22. Tyler Lorenzen: FA. Great QB size, and athletic enough that he worked out as safety for Patriots. May make squad as a long-term project at either QB or TE, but won’t be fantasy relevant for a while. Cut by Jaguars on 9/1.
  23. Rudy Carpenter: Cowboys, FA. Good size and speed. Good at avoiding turnovers. Will compete with McGee for practice-squad spot, but has little chance of making the team.
  24. Drew Willy: FA. Good size. Has good touch, but a weak arm. Came from small school and spread offense and will have a long learning curve. Suspect decision-making and is inconsistent with making correct reads. Probably a practice-squad player, but has a chance to be #3 in time. Has several years to go before becoming fantasy relevant, though. Signed to contract after minicamp, but cut after OTAs. Signed by Baltimore, then cut on 9/1.
  25. Joe Ganz: Redskins, FA. Below-average size, and is probably just training camp fodder, with Chase Daniel also invited to camp.
  26. Todd Boeckman: FA. Great size. Lost job to freshman as senior, but QBed them to national championship game in 2007. OK pro day. Pretty fast.  Waived by Jaguars at start of training camp.
  27. Drew Weatherford: Bears, FA. Good size. Was starter for 2 years, but lost job in senior year. In Bears camp on tryout basis.
  28. Sean Glennon: FA. Long windup and throws high a lot. Good athleticism. May compete somewhere to be practice-squad player, but doesn’t have NFL tools. Waived by Vikings after OTAs.
  29. Graham Harrell: FA. Poised, but has inconsistent mechanics. No follow-through. Doesn’t make good reads. Has no zip on ball, Doesn’t make good intermediate throws. A lot of short-hop passes. Will need time, since he comes from shotgun offense. Struggled at pro day. In Browns camp on tryout basis, but not signed. Will play with Saskatchewan Roughriders in CFL. Probably will never be a good pro.
  30. Nathan Brown: FA. Inaccurate, bad mechanics, bad reads. From shotgun offense, and fumbled snap in Senior Bowl. FA. Cut by Jaguars after minicamp. Is at best a practice-squad player.
  31. Jason Boltus: Hartwick. Good escapability and great arm strength. Poised and aware. Bad mechanics and accuracy. Was signed by the Hamilton Tiger-Cats of the CFL.
  32. Gary Rogers: Wash. St. 6’6” size with good athleticism.
  33. Nate Longshore: Cal. Great size.
  34. Brian Johnson: Playing with UFL. Average size and athleticism. In Packers camp on a tryout basis, but not signed.
  35. Chase Holbrook: NM St. Great size. Very accurate in college. May have limited arm strength and mobility.
  36. Brock Smith: Liberty. OK size and athleticism. Looked good at pro day.
  37. Bobby Reid: Tex. Southern.  Great size. Strong arm. Recovering from ACL injury.
  38. Brian Brunner: Cent. Mich. Average size. Intelligent with above-average athleticism. Said to lack arm strength and deep accuracy.
  39. Willie Tuitama: Ariz. Great size, but average speed and athleticism. Immature and was arrested on DUI.
  40. Casey Dick: Arkansas. Operated in pro-style offense with OK production. May play in Canada.
  41. Liam Coen: UMass. Operated in pro-style offense with adequate results. Not terribly athletic.
  42. Patrick Cowan: UCLA. Good size. Not effective at pro day.

 

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

WR Lavasier Tuinei, Oregon

Seahawks, UDFA. Ore.: Very good size. Good hand size.

Positives: Above-average speed for the size. Has good balance after contact. Long wingspan. Very good hands and great concentration. Adjusts very well to errant passes. Hands reach up quickly to snag passes. Willing to be physical. Showed excellent quickness in Pro Day drills, even though it doesn’t seem to show up in games.

Negatives: Slightly lumbering after the catch — sometimes looks like Roy Williams, which isn’t a good thing. Suspect balance making cuts. Rounds off routes constantly due to lack of quickness. Weak upper body.

Projection: He should probably be around 7th or 8th on the depth chart, and isn’t likely to make a team. Best shot to stay on a team is on a practice squad, but doesn’t look like an NFL-quality WR. Then again, Roy Williams hasn’t been one in years, either, and he was still playing last year.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TE Andrew Szczerba, Penn State

Cowboys, UDFA. Penn. St.: Good size for the position. Above-average hand size.

Positives: Long wingspan. Adjusts well to passes. Holds ball when hit’s coming. Reportedly solid blocker and shows good technique.

Negatives: Has had back issues in college.

Projection: Enters camp as 4th or 5th TE, and won’t beat anyone ahead of him outside of injury. May make another team as pass-catching TE. Not fantasy relevant.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TE Tommy Shaver, Liberty

Great size for the position. Above-average hand size.

Positives: Above-average hands in traffic. Long wingspan. Fair run blocker who sustains blocks.

Negatives: Reportedly below-average speed and route running.

Projection: Undrafted and unlikely to stick on an NFL roster.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

QB GJ Kinne, Tulsa

Jets, UDFA. Tulsa: Above-average size.  Cowboys have shown interest.

Positives: Pro-style QB. Adequate arm strength and velocity. Nice spiral. Fair touch and accuracy on deep throws. Reportedly threw a ball 80 yards at Pro Day. Very good touch and placement on timing patterns. Fair decision making — knows when to throw it away and when to throw back-shoulder. Adequate speed, and moves well in pocket. Is willing to take off and run and is fairly effective. Keeps eyes downfield on the run.

Negatives: Below-average accuracy at most levels of the field. Below-average throwing mechanics. Long windup that goes sidearm at times. Suspect ball security — fumbled without hit in 2010 bowl. Misses open reads under pressure. Holds ball too long. Throws off back foot too often. Inconsistent use of touch passing.

Projection: Isn’t good enough to beat Greg McElroy for the 3rd QB spot, but will probably latch onto some team’s practice squad or the CFL. Not likely to ever be more than that, though.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TE Robert Lamont Bryant, Morgan State

Has large WR/small H-back size.

Positives: Fair speed for the size. Though he hurt his ankle in early Battle of Florida practices, toughed it out and played in game. Hands catcher. Fights for extra yards.

Negatives: Will have a hard time finding his spot in NFL.

Projection: Undrafted, but could stick on a team as a practice squad player. Is similar in style to Dorin Dickerson, though not as good, and Dickerson hasn’t been able to stick on one team.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TE Chase Ford, Miami

Eagles, UDFA. Miami: Good size. Above-average hand size.

Positives: Good body control. Can extend well to catch passes away from frame. Shields defenders when positioning for catch. Can hang onto ball with contact. Reportedly has easy time of finding soft spots in zone coverage.

Negatives: Below-average blocker.

Projection: With Celek, Harbor and Igwenagu ahead of him, he probably won’t make the team, but could stick on a practice squad. If he works on his blocking, he could be a quality fantasy contributor (maybe TE2), but there’s no need to draft him. If he goes to a team with a shorter TE depth chart, keep an eye on him.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TE Brad Smelley, Alabama

Browns, 7th round. Ala.: More a FB size than a TE size. Above-average hand size.

Positives: Good hands and can extend to catch away from body. Very good effort on errant passes. Adequate speed. Fair quickness. Fairly long wingspan. Fairly effective downfield blocker and inline run blocker.

Negatives: Needs to improve route running, which are fairly mediocre — but were reportedly improved at Pro Day. Poor upper-body strength.

Projection: Will likely make a team as a special teamer with the capacity to contribute as a part-timer with TE2 upside. On Browns, may be used like Evan Moore was for the past few years — making him bench material at best in fantasy.

Posted in Fantasy Football, football | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment