For the second straight year, the Denver Broncos have made a blockbuster trade that loses them their best offensive player but nets them some premium draft picks. And if you’re counting, the trades of Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall have returned two first-round picks and three second-round picks. And since first and second rounders are the guys who are supposed to have immediate positive impact on your team, they have gotten potentially five starters for the price of two headaches.
So now that Josh McDaniels has finally and definitively put his stamp on the Broncos, what does this Marshall trade do for the Dolphins?
First, it gives them the true number-one WR they’ve been missing for years. Ted Ginn was supposed to be that guy when he was drafted, but he was a reach even then and he’s performed like it most of his career. Now the team can safely unload him and still have a vastly improved offense. And let’s face it — a WR corps of Ginn, Bess, Camarillo, Hartline, and Turner is Cleveland Browns-like in its blahness, but a WR corps of Marshall, Bess, and either Hartline, Camarillo or Turner has to concern defensive coordinators.
Chad Henne showed some improvement last year as the starting QB, but he was really restricted to dumpoffs and short-to-intermediate routes. The addition of Marshall changes the dynamic. It’s such a huge help for a QB to be able to just heave the ball up there sometime and be reasonably assured that your guy is going to be able to come down with it. That’s what Marshall can do. He’s basically an H-back with the speed of a WR — a big target with the hands to make the circus catch. He’ll be able to get deep as well as use his size to run intermediate crossing patterns.
And with Davone Bess getting open on short crossing patterns, slants, and outs — this move also allows the Dolphins to spread the field. It gives Bess — one of the most underrated young receivers in the game — to have even more space to operate. There aren’t many receivers in the league who know how to get open over the middle like Bess. And defenses will have to try to defend two WRs who know how to get open and snag the ball.
Who will be the third receiver? Last year, they drafted Patrick Turner and Brian Hartline hoping that one of them could be THE GUY, and of the two, Hartline showed the most immediate ability. Turner was a bit of a sensation before last year’s draft because of his size and toughness, but his underachieving college career turned quickly into an underachieving pro career in his rookie season. Regardless, I think the third receiver on this team (probably Hartline) will be like JJ Stokes was on the 49ers teams of the 1990s — always on the verge of being relevant. But the numbers from the position will go up from last year.
Marshall’s presence will also pay huge dividends for the Miami running game. Even last year, when defenses could afford to stack the line against Brown and Williams, they were already one of the most productive rushing attacks in the league at number four. With their new WR corps, defenses will have to loosen up, making the backs even more efficient. They may not improve their rushing yards, because I think they’ll run it a little less now that they have a viable passing attack. But I bet their yards per attempt go up. Look for the Miami passing attack to flirt with the top 10 and the rushing numbers to be about the same.
From a fantasy perspective, I don’t expect Marshall’s numbers to change much from the past two years. But look for Henne to become a fringe fantasy starter. And Bess, even though his yards might not increase much, he may get a few more TDs than he’s used to. And whoever is their third WR is basically bench material. Of the RBs, I don’t expect much change in overall numbers except for YPA. And a lot of that group depends on whether Ronnie Brown is still on the team after his injury and recent DUI arrest.