2015 NFL Draft

Here is where you will be able to access all of the information I’ve put together related to the 2015 NFL draft.

Positional Rankings

  • Quarterbacks — Coming in early February 2015.
  • Running Backs — Coming in early February 2015.
  • Wide Receivers — Coming in early February 2015.
  • Tight Ends and Fullbacks — Coming in early February 2015.
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Shane Carden, QB, East Carolina – 2015

All-Star Games: Senior Bowl.

Positives: Though he is a little short for the position, he has adequate bulk and above-average hand size. For the most part, he has enough accuracy on short and medium passes. His accuracy seems to be a lot better when he is on the move, and he has pretty good mechanics when he is moving around – he keeps himself squared and resets his feet well to deliver a pass when he is on the move. He throws with above-average arm strength and adequate velocity. He goes through his progressions at times, and will spread the ball around to different receivers. He takes pretty good care of the ball under pressure, and knows when to just throw the ball away on the run and in the red zone. As a runner, he is willing to take off, and shows adequate speed and power. He isn’t easy to bring down, and will fight for the first down marker. Okay play fakes.

Negatives: He has below-average height for the position. He comes out of a spread offense, and may not be ready right away for a typical pro offense. Overall, his accuracy is seldom spot on – he consistently throws either just a little short of, behind, or ahead of his receivers. His accuracy on deep patterns and crossing routes is just below average. I think his accuracy would approve a lot if he worked on his mechanics, which are pretty messy. He has a long delivery with a three-quarter release and a strange throwing motion – he seems to push or catapult the ball rather than throw it. He doesn’t consistently step into his throws, and will often throw falling backwards and off of his back foot under no pressure. Too often, he tries to throw with all arm – his feet consistently get caught out of balance in his motion, throwing off his accuracy. When turning his body to throw quick passes to the sideline, he opens up his stance and doesn’t square up. His passes are consistently wobbly – especially when he tries to drive the ball or he is rolling out. He doesn’t sense the outside rush well and sometimes doesn’t even realize pressure is coming – especially when he’s concentrating in clutch situations. Though he spreads the ball around pretty well, he also checks down a lot. We locks onto receivers in clutch situations and makes suspect decisions in the red zone and on the run, where he throws across his body. Will consistently throw into double coverage on intermediate and deep patterns. He hesitates much too often, and is sometimes late to pull the trigger on the run or just doesn’t see his receivers getting open. Below-average ball security on the run, and holds the ball away from his body in one hand. Had some trouble with the under center snap in Senior Bowl practices.

Projection: Round 5. He has enough athleticism and arm talent to contribute as a backup and potential low-tier starter. Since a lot of his issues seem to be tied to his mechanics, working on those may help him contribute even more.

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Garrett Grayson, QB, Colorado State – 2015

All-Star Games: Senior Bowl.

Positives: He is an athletic quarterback with above-average arm strength, deep sideline accuracy, and touch. He shows adequate accuracy on timing patterns over the middle of the field. Inside the pocket, he is able to go through his progressions pretty well – mostly between the 20-yard-lines. While not a threat as a runner, he is willing to take off, and runs with adequate speed and quickness for the position. Under outside pressure, he is able to step up in the pocket and keep his eyes downfield. He throws with an overhand delivery. He is athletic enough that he caught a long touchdown pass in the 2014 bowl game. Adequate height and bulk for the position, with great hand size.

Negatives: He comes out of a spread offense, and may not be ready for a typical pro offense right away. Accuracy is a little bit of a problem for him, and he has below-average accuracy on intermediate passes and passes on the run. While he can get the ball pretty far downfield, he has below-average velocity. His delivery has a nice overhand motion, but it is a long process, and even longer when he has to drive the ball. His decision-making and judgment under pressure are consistently risky. He will hold the ball away from his body when under pressure in the pocket. Also, his field presence is suspect, and, in one game, he was called for intentional grounding right on the edge of his own end zone, which would have resulted in a safety. On deep passes, he won’t read the deep safety and will often throw into double coverage. Once he gets to the red zone, he tends to make too many decisions before the snap, and will eyeball receivers pretty hard, telegraphing his throws. He doesn’t see the field well, and, on the rollout, his field vision narrows to where he misses other opportunities – he tends to only look at one side of the field. He consistently takes too long to make decisions, and lacks anticipation – usually only throwing after his receiver has made his break. He has more trouble throwing down the middle of the field than to the sidelines. While an adequate runner, he has below-average burst and looks a little uncoordinated. He has a little bit of an injury history – he broke his collarbone in October 2012 and missed the rest of that season. He also injured his left clavicle and had surgery in April 2014, but was ready for summer workouts.

Projection: Round 6. Looks destined to be a backup, but could be okay at that if he is in an offense with a strong running game and he works on his anticipation and decision making under pressure.

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Bryce Petty, QB, Baylor – 2015

All-Star Games: Senior Bowl.

Positives: He is a big quarterback who throws with above-average arm strength. He throws with nice touch on intermediate and deep passes, and hits his receivers in stride on go routes – which is where he seems most comfortable throwing. On the run, he will keep his eyes downfield, and knows when to just throw the ball away. Shows pretty good anticipation on timing routes, and will usually throw the ball before the receiver even makes his break. Finds the single-covered man pretty consistently and doesn’t often throw passes into coverage. Runs with adequate speed for his size and position, and is willing to run and sacrifice his body for extra yards. He is as big as an H-back, with above-average height and good bulk for the position, so he can probably handle running in the NFL. Good hand size. Seems to be pretty tough, and played through back injury in 2014.

Negatives: At Baylor, he ran a high-tempo spread offense that often succeeded just because it just caught the defense off-balance – so he may not be immediately ready to run a pro offense. He generally throws with below-average accuracy on short and medium passes, as well as on the run. Though he has pretty good anticipation on timing routes, he has below-average accuracy on those throws. He tends to underthrow or overthrow receivers on crossing routes, on deep patterns, and when he is outside of the pocket. Though he has above-average arm strength, and can get the ball pretty far downfield, it takes a while to get there with his below-average velocity – and his passes tend to wobble. He doesn’t have good pocket presence, and he often doesn’t sense pressure from the outside or behind him. He is hesitant in the pocket, double clutching often, and is often late to pull the trigger – consistently holding the ball too long in the pocket. His size makes it difficult for him to be quick and balanced making cuts as a runner. He also had a lot of trouble taking snaps under center in Senior Bowl practices. Broke two small transverse bones in back in first game of 2014 but continued playing. Mild concussion in November 2014 but was practicing soon after.

Projection: Round 4. He isn’t ready to be a starter in the league, but he has enough skills that he could develop into an adequate backup or low-tier starter.

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Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA – 2015

Redshirt junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: He is an athletic quarterback who throws with good arm strength and adequate velocity. He moves around well inside the pocket, and is able to step up in the pocket under outside pressure. When he is flushed out of the pocket, he keeps squared on the move and keeps his eyes downfield to look for receivers at least some of time. He is a very effective runner with good speed and above-average vision and quickness. Runs like a running back with pretty good body lean. Has a good sense of when to slide as a runner or dive for extra yards.

Negatives: his accuracy and touch are below average at all levels – on short passes, medium passes, timing routes, and when throwing on the run. His touch on deep passes is inconsistent. His throwing mechanics are inconsistent and he has a long windup – he needs to be more aware of stepping into his throws when he can. It seems like he has a lot of tipped passes at the line due to a low trajectory coming out of his hand. Most of his negatives come from decision-making – especially in the red zone. It looks like he eyeballs receivers a lot, and he will often miss out on more open receivers. He consistently takes too many chances in the red zone and under pressure, and throws the ball up for grabs much too often. He often throws into coverage or even directly at defenders standing right in front of him. He doesn’t read defenses well, and throws it to the deep safety too often on deep passes down the middle. Though he sometimes keeps his eyes downfield on the move, he gives up on a lot of plays too early and takes off running. He doesn’t have much of an injury history, but he injured his left elbow in September 2014 and missed two weeks.

Projection: Round 2. To me, he looks like he should go in the third or fourth round at best. He is much more of an athletic prospect than a passer, and he has a long way to go before being able to handle a pro offense.

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Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State – 2015

Redshirt sophomore who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: He ran a pro-style offense in college, so he should be pretty ready to take on an NFL offense. He shows generally good accuracy on short and medium passes, with above-average anticipation – he usually hits receivers coming out of their breaks and in stride down the field. He throws with above-average accuracy on passes to the flat and on intermediate passes to receivers breaking to the sideline – consistently throwing a catchable pass with a nice spiral. He can throw with good velocity through tight windows, but also with nice touch when he needs to. He doesn’t get happy feet in the pocket under pressure and stands his ground confidently. And, when he does move around under pressure, he is able to sidestep rushers up the middle and use a stiff arm to fend them off. He will usually keep his eyes downfield on the run and he is willing to throw the ball away. He runs with adequate speed and above-average power, and will stiffarm his way for extra yards. He is athletic overall – he also played on Florida State’s baseball team, and was drafted by the Rangers in 2012.

Negatives: His accuracy on intermediate crossing routes is inconsistent, and he will overthrow receivers at times. Though he moves around pretty well under pressure, his decision making under pressure isn’t very good. His vision consistently narrows a lot, and he will overlook obviously open checkdown receivers ­– or will see other open receivers too late. He makes too many pre-snap decisions about his targets and will eyeball his receivers and throw into heavy traffic and will also miss better opportunities down the middle of the field. He will also often just throw the ball up for grabs or even directly at defenders when he is under pressure. Outside the pocket, he will sometimes try to run for yards rather than throw to his receivers to make a play. He also shows below-average throwing mechanics on the move, and doesn’t set his feet to throw even when he has enough time. His throwing motion isn’t bad, but it will drop down to three-quarter at times. Though he is athletic and has enough power and speed as a runner, he isn’t especially quick. He needs to be more aware of ball security in the pocket and he will hold the ball too low while standing in the pocket under pressure. He comes with several well-documented character red flags. He was accused of rape in December 2012, but, after a year-long off-and-on investigation, no charges were filed. Was caught shoplifting in April 2014 and was sentenced to community service. Then, he was also suspended by the team from half of an early-season September 2014 game for unbecoming conduct.

Projection: Round 1. He will probably be gone by the end of the first 10 picks, possibly with the first overall. To me, though, he looks like a better prospect in late round one or round two. He reminds me of EJ Manuel with a little more accuracy and a lot more character red flags. If he matures off the field and improves his decision-making on the field, he could be an adequate starting NFL quarterback.

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Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon – 2015

Redshirt junior who has declared for the 2015 NFL draft.

Positives: He has excellent listed height and adequate bulk – and has increased his bulk during his college career. He has above-average arm strength and velocity. He is accurate at all levels of the field, and consistently throws a very catchable pass with good touch. Though he generally threw short and medium passes in college, he is also accurate enough on deep passes and will generally hit his receivers in stride going down the seam and on the sidelines. He is very accurate on short and medium passes, as well as on the run and when rolling out to his left. Though many of his plays take him outside the pocket, he is also poised and patient inside the pocket, going through his progressions well. He stands in the pocket under pressure. He has always taken very good care of the ball and seldom threw interceptions in college. Shows a willingness to throw the ball away when he has to. Doesn’t panic when rolling away from pressure, and he keeps his eyes downfield on the run. Under pressure, he is poised and athletic enough to evade pursuit, reset his feet, and deliver an accurate pass. When he runs, he is a natural runner with good speed and above-average quickness and vision – moving more like a wide receiver than a typical quarterback. As a runner, he protects himself pretty well, and knows when to slide – but will also lower his shoulder to get first-down yardage. Toward the sideline, he switches hands like a running back. He also seems to be pretty tough – even though he partially tore his left MCL in November 2013, he played through it. Though his offense at Oregon was unconventional, it did prepare him to make quick decisions. Good play fakes.

Negatives: At Oregon, he ran a high-tempo spread offense with a lot of read-option plays, and his offense succeeded often because it just caught the defense off-balance, so he may not be immediately ready to run a pro offense. He consistently shows below-average ball security, and he needs to protect the ball better on the run – we will hold it in one hand away from body through traffic. Though he generally shows a lot of ability and solid decision-making outside of the pocket, he will also sometimes throw across his body when he rolls out. Because his playing style is more about moving outside of the pocket, he has not developed his footwork inside the pocket. He doesn’t set his feet consistently enough either inside or outside of the pocket, and his accuracy gets thrown off a lot as a result. His playing style also brings up concerns about injury risk and durability, and, in addition to his 2013 MCL injury, he also sprained his right AC joint in January 2015. As far as intangibles go, he reportedly struggles with shyness and may not fill a team’s need for a vocal leader.

Projection: Round 1. He should be gone by the end of the first 10 picks of the draft, possibly with the first overall. He reminds me of a much more polished and experienced version of Ryan Tannehill who shouldn’t have much trouble transitioning to the pro game – and doing well at it.

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Senorise Perry, RB, Louisville

Bears, UDFA. Came in as a tryout in rookie minicamp, but the Bears signed him afterward.

Positives: Good height for the position. Though his game speed is only adequate, he has good track speed for the position. Finishes runs with power and pops defenders back. Runs with adequate speed. Keeps legs churning after contact. Keeps balance very well, even in the rain. Strong lower body. Above-average vertical leap. OK hands. Adequate pass blocker.

Negatives: Below-average bulk for the position and the height, and looks like he’s built more like a wide receiver. To take advantage of his speed potential, he needs to be more decisive. He also isn’t very creative. Runs too upright behind the line and he needs to get lower to be able to push through first wave of traffic. Below-average acceleration and ability to change directions. Below-average upper-body strength. Injured his knee in 2012 and missed end of season.

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Beau Blankenship, RB, Ohio

UDFA. Was signed by the Jaguars after a May tryout but cut in July. He has some running skills, but doesn’t do anything especially well enough to matter in fantasy leagues. May make an NFL team through special teams.

Positives: Above-average power on straight-ahead runs and is able to churn through contact. Adequate speed. Has quick feet that should make it easier for him to change directions. Above-average burst. Is usually decisive. Though deficient at it, he seems like a willing pass blocker. Protects the ball through the first wave of defenders. Fair balance after contact and gives good effort for extra yards.

Negatives: One-speed runner with little elusiveness. Isn’t easily able to balance himself after contact from the side. Poor pass blocker and is easily knocked off his feet. Though he’s usually decisive, he looks unsure on short-yardage runs – when decisiveness matters. Below-average hands – has trouble adjusting and tends to let passes get to his body. Lowers his head through the line and tends to miss cutback opportunities.

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Glasco Martin, RB/FB, Baylor

UDFA. Was signed by the Cowboys as a UDFA but released in May. His combination of size and power – with enough speed – make him an attractive option as a committee running back with 5 or so touches per game. But he lacks the dynamic traits for much more than that.

Positives: Large enough for a fullback and has adequate speed. Secures ball well through line. Runs low in short yardage and generates power. Fair balance after contact. Patient on most runs, and waits for blocks to develop. Churns well through contact and pushes pile.

Negatives: Uncreative through the line and shows below-average burst. Tends to be less patient on short-yardage runs. Broke foot in 2013 and was affected by it in Summer practices.

Projection: Probably no need to draft, but keep an eye on where, if anywhere, he lands. If he turns into a vulture, he may be worth stashing in deep dynasty leagues.

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Jeff Scott, RB/PR, Mississippi

UDFA. Was signed by the Bengals as a UDFA but released in June  Isn’t built to have a huge fantasy impact as a running back, but he’s worth remembering in return-yardage leagues. Has the outright athleticism to stick on a roster and contribute somewhere – as a return specialist or part of a committee approach.

All-Star Games: South Carolina All-Star Bowl.

Positives: Good quickness and burst. Okay hands. Above-average track speed for the position, and adequate for his size. Agile and has open-field moves. Good speed. Good change-of-direction ability. Okay vision for cutback.

Negatives: Small size. Inconsistent concentration – drops some easy passes. Balanced after contact. Missed 2013 bowl game for personal reasons.

Projection: No need to draft.

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